| RELEVANT
MACROECONOMIC PARAMETERS |
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| 1. |
What macroeconomic parameters are
crucial in the determination and review of the
budget? |
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The major macroeconomic parameters
crucial in the determination and review of the
budget include the following level: level and
growth in real/nominal Gross National Product
(GNP) and Gross Domestic Product (GDP), inflation
rate, 91-day Treasury bill rates and the London
Interbank Offered Rate (LIBOR), foreign-exchange
rate, level and growth of exports and imports,
and population growth. |
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| 2. |
How are these macroeconomic parameters
determined as bases of the budget levels? |
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The macroeconomic parameters or
the targets and assumption which form the basis
of the budget estimates are determined by the
DBCC which coordinates the projections of main
fiscal and economic authorities such as the National
Economic and Development Authority (NEDA), the
Department of Finance (DOF), the Bangko Sentral
ng Pilipinas and the Department of Budget and
Management based on historical and/or desired
patterns of economic behavior. |
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| 3. |
What is the Gross National Product
(GNP)? |
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The Gross National Product (GNP)
is the measure of the total value of all final
goods and services produced in an economy in a
given year. It takes into account everything produced
by Philippine nationals or companies both within
or outside of the country and includes remittances
of Overseas Filipino Workers (OFWs). To avoid
"double counting," however, the GNP
only sums up all the value-added of final products
or considers only the final value of goods and
services produced and excludes the contributions
made by intermediate producers.
The GNP is oftentimes used as an
indicator of economic activity. A higher GNP indicates
an expansion of the economy's production capacity
which generally means that more jobs are created
and more incomes are received. The per capita
GNP (GNP divided by population) is also an important
gauge of economic development and is often used
as the basis for classifying countries as underdeveloped
or developing. |
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| 4. |
How does the GNP affect the budget? |
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A higher GNP generally results in
a larger tax base and consequently, higher revenue
collections from the domestic market which could
be made available to the government to finance
public services and development programs and projects
or to increase the budgetary surplus, depending
on government's policy. |
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| 5. |
What is inflation and how does
it affect government budgeting? |
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Inflation refers to the persistent
upward movement in the general price level resulting
in the diminishing purchasing power of a given
nominal sum of money. The inflation rate is the
annual rate of change in the general price level
often measured by the Consumer Price Index.
When the inflation rate increases,
government revenues particularly from domestic-based
taxes also rise because of the increase in the
prices of taxable products. At the same time,
disbursements are also expected to increase because
of higher cost requirements for maintenance and
other operating expenditures such as supplies
and materials, transportation services and capital
outlays.
The inflation rate thus serves as
an indicator of the possible level of increases
in the agency's budget to cover price escalation. |
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| 6. |
What is the 91-day Treasury Bill
rate? How does it affect the budget? |
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The 91-day Treasury Bill (T-Bill)
rate refers to the interest rate on Treasury
Bills maturing within 91 days issued by the national
government to general funds for general purposes,
including the payment of outstanding obligations
of the government. It serves as a ballweather
indicating the rate of interest in the market.
The T-Bill rate is a significant
factor affecting the budget in terms of the level
of domestic debt, the cost of servicing the public
domestic debt, and the level of revenues via the
tax withheld from the interest income on the sale
of government securities. An increase in T-Bill
rate will raise government revenues due to the
20% withholding tax on interest income. At the
same time, however, it will increase additional
requirements for interest payments. |
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| 7. |
What is the LIBOR and its significance
in the budget? |
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The London Interbank Offered
Rate (LIBOR) is the rate offered to prime
borrowers in the international capital market
based in London, and is used as the base for most
interest quotations.
An increase in LIBOR means an increase
in expenditure for foreign interest payments which
will reduce budgetary surplus if the increase
in foreign interest payments will not be matched
by additional revenue flow. |
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| 8. |
How does the foreign exchange rate
reckon with government expenditures. |
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The foreign exchange rate is the
rate at which a currency is exchanged for another
currency, in the case of the Philippines, the
peso to the US dollar. Any change in the exchange
rate assumption will correspondingly change the
peso cost of all expenditures paid in US dollars
like foreign debt service, both repayment and
interest, the regular operating requirements of
foreign-based government offices like embassies,
consulates, etc. and other government contracts
which are to be settled using foreign currency. |
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| 9. |
What is the role of the level of
imports in determining the level of expenditures? |
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The level of imports is not a direct
input in the determination of expenditures. However,
it is a key input in the estimation of revenues,
particularly international trade taxes and income/sales
taxes. An increase in the import level implies
additional tax revenues and therefore a corresponding
increase in the cash surplus. |
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| 10. |
What is the implication of population
growth on expenditure? |
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Growth in population means higher
expenditure requirements for government because
of more demand for services. Population growth
is specifically important in projecting population-based
expenditures like education, health and other
social services. |